Aaron Nola will look to help stop the bleeding for the Phillies as the Cubs come to town. Photo by Wayne Terry, TPL.

After dropping two out of three games in their series with the Braves, the Phillies now look to salvage the end of the road trip versus the Mets. This will be the Phillies last series prior to the All-Star break, so winning a series like this to ride high into the break is huge. 

Probable Pitching Matchups

Game one: Vince Velasquez (2-5, 4.73 ERA) vs. Jacob deGrom (4-7, 3.32 ERA)

Game two: Jake Arrieta (8-6, 4.43 ERA) vs. Noah Syndergaard (5-4, 4.56 ERA)

Game three: Aaron Nola (7-2, 3.89 ERA) vs. Zack Wheeler (6-5, 4.42 ERA)

Although the Phillies are going to have their hands full facing off against the Mets two best pitchers, I think this is a series that the Phillies can win. For starters, the Phillies have dominated this matchup so far, winning seven of the ten games that these teams have played. Also, of those seven wins, the Phillies have won the last five games they have played against the Mets.

Another reason that the Phillies can easily continue to pound on the Mets is the fashion in which they’ve won those past games. The Phillies rallied on multiple occasions against this Mets team to complete a four game sweep when the Mets came to Philadelphia. So far this season, the Mets have been the divisional team that the Phillies have proven that they can beat on multiple occasions.

Two Scuffling Squads

The Phillies need to take advantage of a Mets team that has been in a very bad skid. Over their last ten games, the Mets have a record of 2-8. Although the Phillies haven’t been playing great baseball themselves, this is a struggling team they can and need to take advantage to salvage any kind of momentum into the break. 

After dropping multiple series and a recent hot streak by the Washington Nationals, the Phillies now sit at third place in the NL East. Washington now has a half game lead over the Phillies for second place. The Phillies need to get back to playing winning baseball and get themselves back into the division race. That starts this weekend. By coming out and beating the Mets in this series, it would allow the Phillies to have some good momentum heading into the back end of this season. The week off will hopefully have a reset effect and have them well rested to make a strong push to get back into first place. 

Stats to keep an eye on

  • Rhys Hoskins is a career .304 hitter at Citi Field.
  • Aaron Nola is 6-1 with a 3.48 ERA for his career versus the Mets.
  • JT Realmuto is batting .391 with a .440 OBP over his last seven games.
  • Pete Alonso is hitting .352 with 10 RBI over his last 15 games. 
  • Jacob deGrom has a 2.80 ERA over his last seven starts.