Aaron Nola will look to help stop the bleeding for the Phillies as the Cubs come to town. Photo by Wayne Terry, TPL.

After a road trip to forget, the Phillies come home for a seven game home stand. This weekend they will have a series against the Miami Marlins. After going 1-5 on their road trip, the Phillies have to win these next three games. In this slump, the gap between the Phillies and Braves has stretched to 4.5 games in the battle for first place in the division. 

Probable Pitching Matchups

Game one: Aaron Nola (6-1, 4.89 ERA) vs. Sandy Alcantara (3-6, 3.73 ERA) 

Game two: TBD vs. Elieser Hernandez (0-2, 3.95 ERA)

Game three: TBD vs. Jordan Yamamoto (2-0, 0.00 ERA) 

Between the rainouts in the series versus the Nationals and Gabe Kapler still not naming the fifth starter for this rotation, it is undecided who will pitch for the Phillies in the back end of this series. One thing we do know is that the Phillies will be putting Aaron Nola on the mound to kick off the series Friday night. He will look to play stopper as the Phillies have been trending in the wrong direction and are in dire need of a win.

Hopefully they’ll need to bring out the brooms

Although some pitching has still not been decided, this is a series the Phillies could very easily sweep and gain some ground back in the division race. For starters, the Phillies will be back home where they play much better baseball. Also, the Marlins are in a slump just like the Phillies. They have lost seven of their last ten games, and are not a good team on the road with an away record of 13-21.

Another thing that will be going in the Phillies’ favor in this series is inexperience. They will be facing two young Marlins’ pitchers who do not have much exposure to the big leagues. In the series finale, the Marlins will be putting Jordan Yamamoto on the mound, who has been impressive but will only be making his third career start. Elieser Hernandez is another pitcher the Phillies will face that does not have much experience. Facing two young pitchers who have little experience is something that the Phillies really need to capitalize on in this series. 

With the All-Star break slowly creeping up, the Phillies are heading into dangerous territory. Entering the break, they need to still be within striking distance of first place. Not to mention where they stand at the All-Star break is going to dictate how aggressive the front office is at the trade deadline. Luckily for the Phillies, they are facing a team that they have dominated so far this season. In seven games, the Phillies have won five against the Marlins. At a bare minimum, the Phillies need to win this series in hopes to gain some ground in the division race and to build momentum to close out these last few games before the All-Star break. 

Stats to keep an eye on 

  • The Marlins’ pitching staff has a 4.51 ERA on the road this season. 
  • Sandy Alcantara struggles on the road; his road ERA is 4.26 as opposed to his home ERA that is 3.40.
  • Scott Kingery continues to stay hot at the plate. Over his last seven games, he is batting .400 with an OBP of .444.
  • JT Realmuto has hit much better at Citizens Bank Park this season. At home he hits .305 with a .368 OBP.